Do
you believe everything you read in the newspapers? In news magazines? In
emails? Do you believe everything you hear on the radio or see on television?
We have a tendency to believe anything we see in black and white, but should
we?
Writers
are usually expressing their opinion or theory and will provide “data” to
support their theory. We need to understand that data cannot prove a theory; it
can only support or disprove theory. For example scientists have a theory that
the speed of light is 299,792.458 km/sec in a vacuum. That looks pretty
precise, but is it a fact? It is to the best of our knowledge, but could change
in the future. Prior to the 17th century we thought it was infinite.
In 1667, Galileo theorized that it was ten times the speed of sound. In 1675,
Roemer measured it at 200,000 km/sec, Bradley at 301,000 in 1728, Fizeau at
313,300 in 1849, and Foucault at 299,796 in 1862. You can see that what we
assumed to be the true speed of light changed over time as we developed new
ways of measurement.
As
the authors are collecting data to support their theory, they may be
consciously or subconsciously distorting the data. Pure objectivity is never
possible. Optimists and pessimists will view the same data differently. They
may collect or use data that only supports their theory.
We
may have different political bents or different experiences so that the same
data registers differently in our minds. We each have different brain filters.
Examples
of data being used to support theories are charts making the rounds on the web
about jobs created under past presidents making the incumbent look very good.
The counterpoint by the opposition is that the more important data to observe
is the rate of unemployment which paints the opposite picture because the
population of the workforce in growing.
Another
example of conflicting data is a chart also making the rounds on the web about
the number of infant deaths for every 1000 live births by country, which paints
a better picture for the United Kingdom, Australia, Germany, France, and Japan
than for the United States. This implies that our healthcare system is inferior
to other countries. The counterpoint to this is that our numbers are counted on
pre-terms that other countries do not count; the United States doctors try to
save 22-27 week babies while most other countries don’t try unless the little
one breathes on its own.
We
need to understand who the author is, why are they writing/talking, what is
their agenda, what are their underlying assumptions, is the data flawed or
skewed, etc. We need to look for counterpoints and not just take for granted
what we read, hear, and see. We need to critically analyze what information
which we are exposed to and develop our own theories
After
all, truth is what we believe it to be.
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